We’re kicking off a new series exploring how communities in Kansas Groundwater Management District #1 are working together to address water challenges and protect water for future generations. Throughout the series, you’ll hear from local leaders, producers, and scientists who are turning conversations and real-world decisions into long-term solutions.
In this first story, we’re setting the stage by explaining the challenges facing western Kansas, the goal moving forward, and a term you’ll hear often throughout this series: Q-Stable. Be sure to listen to the companion podcast at the end of the article.
Why Q-Stable Matters
In western Kansas, water isn’t a background issue. It’s the issue.
It determines whether crops can be grown, whether livestock operations can operate or even expand, and whether small towns can count on a reliable drinking water supply. And for a region with limited surface water, it also determines what the next generation inherits.
That’s why Katie Durham, district manager for Western Kansas Groundwater Management District #1 (GMD1), says the push toward “Q-Stable” isn’t a slogan. It’s a practical way to talk about what it will take to keep the Ogallala Aquifer viable for the people who depend on it.
“Our district faces both water quality and water quantity problems, mainly water quantity,” Durham said. “We’re hyper-focused on addressing the decline in the aquifer and making sure we have water left for future generations, for agricultural purposes, municipal purposes, industrial use, stock water. All of those things are tightly woven together.”
A Region Built on Groundwater
GMD1 covers roughly 1.1 million acres across parts of Wallace, Lane, Greeley, Scott and Wichita counties — a landscape of small communities and wide-open production agriculture where the largest town is only about 4,000 people.
In places like this, Durham said, water isn’t just an input for irrigation. It’s the foundation under nearly every piece of the local economy.
“Our communities are so hyper-focused on agriculture economically,” she said. “It’s really important that we plan to have that resource available in the future.”
That planning starts with being honest about what aquifer decline looks like in real life and with clearing up a misunderstanding she hears often.
“People typically think it’s a bathtub underneath the ground, and that we’re all drawing from exactly the same kind of aquifer system,” Durham said. “And it’s just not.”
Not a Bathtub
Even within a short drive, groundwater conditions can shift dramatically. Durham described the Ogallala in this part of Kansas as a patchwork, where geology changes from county to county and sometimes faster than that.
“The boundaries of the western groundwater districts look odd on a map because they’re tightly mirrored around the Ogallala that comes into Kansas,” she said. “It’s not the same in our area as it is in other districts. It’s not continuous.”
That matters because the physical makeup of the aquifer isn’t uniform.
“The bedrock changes quite a bit,” Durham said. “The material in the aquifer changes very quickly in a lot of areas. You might have better sands and gravels in some places and less productive material in others.”
Those differences affect two things producers feel immediately: how much water is available and how well it can be used.
Durham explained that “saturated thickness”, the amount of water-bearing material in the aquifer, is one of the clearest on-the-ground indicators of supply.
“Saturated thickness basically equates to available water supply,” she said. “And then there’s the gallon-per-minute rate you experience in that individual area.”
In plain terms: some wells decline faster, some produce less, and some areas have less room for error, even if they’re only a few miles apart.
About More than Irrigation
In western Kansas, the Ogallala Aquifer is the primary source of water not only for irrigation, but also for municipalities, rural domestic wells, livestock operations and industry.
“In our area in particular, we don’t have surface water,” Durham said. “Our only water supply — municipal, domestic, irrigation, stock, and industrial — is dependent on the Ogallala.”
That reliance is exactly why Durham says stabilization matters. If the aquifer continues to decline, the ripple effects go far beyond one operation.
“It’s important that we slow down the depletion and get to a place of stabilization,” she said, “so that we have resources for future generations.”
Durham also emphasized that the conversation can’t stay stuck in blame, especially when many producers will be the first to tell you they didn’t have today’s data when irrigation development accelerated decades ago.
“We’re beyond pointing fingers,” she said. “We just have more science now and more technology now. The focus has to be: how do we move forward?”
What Is “Q-Stable”?
Durham described Q-Stable as a straightforward concept built from strong data: a water budget.
Kansas collects extensive groundwater information, including annual water-level measurements taken each winter, water-use data, and monitoring data from systems that can track well performance frequently over time.
Durham said, “Q-Stable essentially is a water budget — comparing what’s available, how much is being extracted, and how much is returning through recharge and lateral inflows. It’s a regional estimate that can change over time, serving as a locally driven decision-making tool and directional goalpost as a directional target for stabilizing the aquifer rather than a fixed number. It’s designed to help communities and producers evaluate options, guide farmer-driven decisions at the local level, and it must be supported by ongoing monitoring and locally driven management decisions that also account for economic and other factors.”
The goal is equilibrium: a point where long-term use matches what the aquifer can reasonably sustain.
“You want to find an equilibrium where you’re not pumping or extracting more than you’re able to maintain or recharge,” she said.
Durham noted that Q-Stable doesn’t try to rank which use is more important. It is simply an accounting of what the aquifer can supply over time and whether current use is trending toward stability or depletion.
“It’s just looking at the resource,” she said. “How much of the resource is being used in these regions and what is still available.”
The Pressure Point
In GMD1, Durham said the biggest lever for stabilization is also the most sensitive one.
“Overall water use in our area, closer to 97% of total use, is irrigation,” she said. “The rest is divided between municipal, stock water and some industrial.”
That signals meaningful progress on stabilization requires changes in irrigation use, but Durham is careful to frame that reality alongside the economic stakes.
“The goal becomes: how are you able to reduce that, but not economically endanger our communities that are so dependent on agriculture?” she said. “How do you reduce water use in a way that allows producers to still produce a good crop?”
For Durham, that question is the bridge between data and people. It’s also why she says solutions must be local.
“These plans are not a one-shoe-size-fits-all solution,” she said. “They need to be developed by each local community, because the local aquifer system is so dynamic and our economics are so dynamic.”
Locally Driven change
Kansas’ Local Enhanced Management Areas, or LEMAs, are one example of that local approach. Durham said early conversations around conservation often ran into fear, especially fear of losing control.
“A lot of producers had heard rumors of huge changes,” she said. “At first it was off-putting. It was coming from fear of the unknown.”
Over time, she said the tone shifted as producers understood two things: the numbers were based on real, local data, and they would have a voice in shaping how reductions worked.
“When people saw it was individualized, but they were all doing it together, that helped,” Durham said.
Durham said that variability is exactly why locally driven management tools like LEMAs are critical when working toward Q-Stable. “That is why it is so important to have the LEMAs and the ability to address what we see in the data over time, at the local level,” she said. “Within Wichita County, for example, there are areas that were already at estimated Q-Stable values before the LEMA, areas that have achieved estimated Q-Stable values within the LEMA, and areas that still have more work to do.”
She explained that those differences highlight how dynamic groundwater conditions can be, even within a single county. “That is how variable the numbers are, and how much they change across different counties throughout the GMD,” Durham said. “That is also why working so closely with the Kansas Geological Survey, and participating in efforts like Airborne Electromagnetic Mapping or GMD3’s ICARE regions, are such important initiatives.”
Durham emphasized that Q-Stable should be viewed as a flexible, data-driven target shaped by local input and economic realities.
“We think of Q-Stable as a general estimated direction, a locally used planning tool and set of goal posts that help guide farmer-driven decisions and then proceed by utilizing public input and local control through the LEMAs in identifying how quickly we can reasonably get to that goal while taking economics into consideration.”
She also sees a cultural shift underway, driven by families thinking long-term, and notes that Kansas is somewhat unique in its grassroots approach to water policy — where locally driven decision-making plays a critical role in building adoption and support for LEMA plans within agricultural communities.
“There’s a lot of producers in this region that have young children,” she said. “They want those family members to be able to take over the family farm. And to make that possible, they realize they have to make changes now.”
One Neighbor’s Example
Durham said one of the most powerful forces in water conservation isn’t a policy document, it’s word-of-mouth.
She described a producer who entered a five-year plan and initially tried to treat the water allocation like a simple annual budget. In year one, he used far more than he intended and panicked.
“He realized: how am I going to budget the remaining four years when I already did this in year one?” she said.
That moment pushed him to try new strategies, including technology that helped improve irrigation timing and planning. Neighbors noticed when his pivot wasn’t running and called to ask if something was wrong.
“And he had to say: yes, I’m aware,” Durham said. “I’m just trusting the process.”
The following year, she said, he used significantly less water while producing a strong crop and then told his neighbors what changed.
“The first thing he did was go tell all his friends and neighbors,” she said. “And a lot of those individuals came into the office and said: what tools are out there?”
For Durham, that’s the turning point: when conservation becomes a shared community practice, not a private experiment.
“That kind of sharing of experience was, and continues to be, very impactful,” she said.
Education, Options and Navigation
Durham described GMD1’s role as equal parts educator and translator, helping producers understand their own data, sort through programs, and connect with resources that change year to year.
“A lot of it is education,” she said. “We do a lot of one-on-one consultations.”
Sometimes that begins with required reporting, she said, but quickly becomes a longer conversation about what’s available and what might fit a producer’s goals.
“What programs are available? What technologies are we seeing? What cost-share opportunities does the state or federal government have?” she said. “It’s complicated, and it changes every fiscal year.”
GMD1 also participates in efforts like irrigation technology evaluations and upgrades, designed to help producers make systems more efficient and better understand performance at the well level.
On the ground, Durham said that often means helping producers look closely at drawdown, recovery, pressure, efficiency and how those details connect to the bigger picture.
Q-Stable at the Farm Level
Durham emphasized that Q-Stable operates at two scales: the regional scale that tracks sustainability across an area, and the farm scale where decisions are made well by well.
She encouraged producers to build familiarity with their own systems, water levels, well depth, intake points, and how the well responds during pumping.
And she offered a comparison that most people understand immediately.
“You can equate it to looking at your well like your bank account,” Durham said. “If you understand how much you’re pulling out every year, and what that effect is, you’re going to self-regulate and self-identify what estimated stability looks like for your farm.”
Why Now
Durham said the momentum around conservation has grown because producers can see examples of plans working and because confidence in the data continues to increase.
“We’re seeing more and more examples of people that have been able to make it work,” she said. “And we also have data indicating what the aquifer is looking like.”
With better information and more real-world results, she believes more producers are ready to act.
“That empowerment is really critical in getting things moving,” Durham said.
If she could boil the work down to a few words, Durham said it would come back to relationships.
“Human relationships and building that trust,” she said. “Taking the time to sit down with people and listen. People want to be heard. They want to understand what the data says and what the options are.”
And when they do, Durham has seen what happens next.
“It empowers them to be part of the solution,” she said, “and to do it on a local level.”
Durham is direct about the fact that irrigation dominates water use, but she also pushes back on the idea that water sustainability is one group’s responsibility.
“It benefits everybody,” she said. “If you start looking at it as a community rather than one stakeholder group, it’s all tightly connected.”
Looking Forward
Durham hopes future generations understand two things at once: the past was shaped by what people knew at the time, and the future will be shaped by what communities choose to do now.
“My hope would be that future generations look forward instead of backwards,” she said, “and figure out how we use the available resources in the best way possible, so this way of life is available for generations.”
To hear more from Katie Durham, listen to the episode below. In the next story, we explore what happens when information sparks conversations and turns into real-world action on the ground.